Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✗89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco preview and prediction
The match
Monaco travel to Parc des Princes in the Ligue 1 on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT) to face Paris Saint Germain. Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Monaco sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Monaco 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Monaco's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Paris Saint Germain 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Monaco. Across their last 2 meetings Paris Saint Germain have won 1, Monaco 0, with 1 draw and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.0 for Monaco. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 68%, draw 21%, Monaco 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @5.60
Monaco11%fair 9.00 · @7.25
3.38Expected goals
2.42Paris Saint Germain xG
0.96Monaco xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.4 – 1.0 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monaco 11%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
