Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lens to win @ 2.86 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStrasbourg to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Strasbourg vs Lens preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Strasbourg take on Lens on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Meinau. Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lens sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Strasbourg and 1.5 for Lens. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Strasbourg 39%, draw 23%, Lens 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lens to win at 2.86 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Strasbourg 1–1 Lens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strasbourg39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Lens38%fair 2.63 · @2.86
2.96Expected goals
1.49Strasbourg xG
1.46Lens xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.5 – 1.5 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strasbourg to win✗
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strasbourg / FT Strasbourg✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.80
–
Form
Strasbourg – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Lyon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lens – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Lens.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lens?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lens 38%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Lens?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Lens?
Strasbourg vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
