Barnsley travel to Lamex Stadium in the League One on Tuesday 21 April (19:45 WAT) to face Stevenage. Stevenage are 16th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Barnsley sit 23rd on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Stevenage's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Bolton 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Barnsley's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Port Vale 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Stevenage and 0.8 for Barnsley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stevenage61%fair 1.64 · @1.71
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
Barnsley15%fair 6.47 · @4.80
2.59Expected goals
1.80Stevenage xG
0.79Barnsley xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.8 – 0.8 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✓
61%
1.64
1.71
Double chance
Stevenage or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Stevenage ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.42
–
Form
Stevenage – last 6
LWDLLL
14 Apr
@ Bolton
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Blackpool
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Rotherham
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Plymouth
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barnsley – last 6
DLDDDL
14 Apr
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Burton Albion
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Wigan
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Cardiff
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Wycombe
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Barnsley.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stevenage vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barnsley 15%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Barnsley?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Barnsley?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Barnsley?
Stevenage vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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