Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 2.76 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✗40% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Preston vs Stoke City preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Preston take on Stoke City on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Deepdale. Preston are 24th with 8 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Stoke City sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Preston's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Coventry 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Stoke City's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Ipswich 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Stoke City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Preston and 1.3 for Stoke City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Preston 36%, draw 24%, Stoke City 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Stoke City to win at 2.76 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Preston 1–1 Stoke City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Preston36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Stoke City40%fair 2.48 · @2.76
2.43Expected goals
1.17Preston xG
1.27Stoke City xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Preston 1.2 – 1.3 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✗
40%
2.48
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Form
Preston – last 4
LLDL
11 Mar
@ Coventry
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
24 Feb
@ Swansea
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Blackburn
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 4
DWDL
10 Mar
vs Ipswich
3–3
D
25 Feb
vs Oxford United
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Leicester
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Stoke City.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Preston vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Preston have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stoke City 40%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Stoke City?
Preston vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
