Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Middlesbrough to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.98
QPR vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
Middlesbrough travel to Loftus Road in the Championship on Sunday 8 March (17:30 WAT) to face QPR. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 4: WDDL Most recently they beat Birmingham 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for QPR and 1.9 for Middlesbrough. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Middlesbrough to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR15%fair 6.76 · @3.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Middlesbrough60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
2.70Expected goals
0.84QPR xG
1.87Middlesbrough xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: QPR 0.8 – 1.9 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
QPR – last 2
LW
24 Feb
@ Southampton
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 4
WDDL
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Leicester
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Oxford United
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Coventry
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Middlesbrough.
Our pick is Middlesbrough or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win QPR vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers QPR have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 60%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Middlesbrough?
QPR vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
