Value bet: Wrexham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol City to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Bristol City vs Wrexham preview and prediction
The match
Wrexham travel to Ashton Gate Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT) to face Bristol City. Bristol City are 17th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Wrexham sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Bristol City and 1.3 for Wrexham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol City 41%, draw 24%, Wrexham 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Wrexham to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bristol City 1–1 Wrexham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol City41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Wrexham35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
2.64Expected goals
1.39Bristol City xG
1.25Wrexham xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.4 – 1.3 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✗
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Bristol City
No recent results on record.
Wrexham – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Wrexham.
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wrexham 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Bristol City vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
