Value bet: Swindon Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwindon Town to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Colchester vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
Swindon Town travel to Colchester Community Stadium in the League Two on Friday 10 April (19:45 WAT) to face Colchester. Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Tranmere 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Swindon Town's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Walsall 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Swindon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Colchester and 1.3 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colchester 39%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Swindon Town to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester39%fair 2.60 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.45
Swindon Town39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.32Colchester xG
1.32Swindon Town xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.3 – 1.3 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win✗
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
WLLDLW
6 Apr
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Oldham
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Crawley Town
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Chesterfield
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Barnet
4–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
WDWDLW
6 Apr
vs Walsall
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Gillingham
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Colchester vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Colchester have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Swindon Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Swindon Town?
Colchester vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
