Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.70 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✓39% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.46
Accrington ST vs Barnet preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST host Barnet in the League Two on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Wham Stadium. Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Accrington ST and 1.4 for Barnet. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 36%, draw 26%, Barnet 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Accrington ST to win at 3.70 – 36% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–1 Barnet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST36%fair 2.80 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Barnet39%fair 2.58 · @2.02
2.82Expected goals
1.46Accrington ST xG
1.36Barnet xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.5 – 1.4 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Accrington ST
Barnet
Attack vs League Two average
+11%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.54
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✓
39%
2.58
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.46
–
Form
Accrington ST – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Colchester
1–4
L
17 Feb
vs Swindon Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Barnet.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Barnet?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barnet 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Barnet?
Accrington ST vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
