Value bet: Arges Pitesti to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArges Pitesti to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti preview and prediction
The match
The Liga I sees Petrolul Ploiesti take on Arges Pitesti on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Ilie Oană. Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th with 27 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Arges Pitesti sit 13th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Petrolul Ploiesti and 1.1 for Arges Pitesti. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Arges Pitesti to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Arges Pitesti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Petrolul Ploiesti33%fair 3.07 · @3.05
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.64
Arges Pitesti42%fair 2.39 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.91Petrolul Ploiesti xG
1.09Arges Pitesti xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Petrolul Ploiesti 0.9 – 1.1 Arges Pitesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arges Pitesti to win✗
42%
2.39
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arges Pitesti / FT Arges Pitesti✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Petrolul Ploiesti
No recent results on record.
Arges Pitesti
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Petrolul Ploiesti and Arges Pitesti.
What is the prediction for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
On our numbers Petrolul Ploiesti have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arges Pitesti 42%.
How many goals will there be in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
Our predicted score is Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Arges Pitesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti?
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Arges Pitesti (Liga I) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
