Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLoughgall to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceLoughgall or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Loughgall vs Ards preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Loughgall take on Ards on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Lakeview Park. Loughgall are 8th with 20 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Ards sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Loughgall's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Institute 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Loughgall and 0.8 for Ards. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Loughgall 62%, draw 23%, Ards 15%.
Safer route: Loughgall or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Loughgall to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Loughgall 1–0 Ards. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Loughgall62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Ards15%fair 6.53 · @4.00
2.72Expected goals
1.89Loughgall xG
0.83Ards xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Loughgall 1.9 – 0.8 Ards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
Loughgall or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Loughgall ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Loughgall – last 4
LWDW
3 Mar
@ Institute
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Newington Youth
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Limavady United
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ards – last 2
WD
3 Mar
vs Limavady United
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Queen's University
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loughgall and Ards.
Our pick is Loughgall to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Loughgall vs Ards?
On our numbers Loughgall have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ards 15%.
How many goals will there be in Loughgall vs Ards?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loughgall vs Ards?
Our predicted score is Loughgall 1–0 Ards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Loughgall vs Ards?
Loughgall vs Ards (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lakeview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
