The Premiership sees Glenavon FC take on Larne on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Mourneview Park.
Form guide
Larne's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Dungannon Swifts 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Glenavon FC and 2.0 for Larne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Glenavon FC 11%, draw 24%, Larne 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Glenavon FC 0–2 Larne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Glenavon FC11%fair 8.81 · @5.40
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
Larne65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
2.72Expected goals
0.74Glenavon FC xG
1.98Larne xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Glenavon FC 0.7 – 2.0 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Glenavon FC – last 2
DW
24 Feb
@ Ballymena United
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Bangor
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Larne – last 3
WDL
13 Mar
vs Dungannon Swifts
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Glenavon FC and Larne.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Larne?
On our numbers Glenavon FC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larne 65%.
How many goals will there be in Glenavon FC vs Larne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Glenavon FC vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Glenavon FC 0–2 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Glenavon FC vs Larne?
Glenavon FC vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mourneview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
