Larne host Dungannon Swifts in the Premiership on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Inver Park. Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Dungannon Swifts sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Larne and 0.9 for Dungannon Swifts. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Larne 2–0 Dungannon Swifts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larne61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
Dungannon Swifts16%fair 6.31 · @5.80
2.77Expected goals
1.90Larne xG
0.87Dungannon Swifts xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Larne 1.9 – 0.9 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.16
–
Form
Larne – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dungannon Swifts – last 2
LW
17 Feb
vs Linfield
1–4
L
13 Feb
vs Cliftonville FC
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Dungannon Swifts.
What is the prediction for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Larne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dungannon Swifts 16%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
