Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.24
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Linfield to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLinfield to win61% · @1.85
Double chanceLinfield or draw86% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.92
Linfield vs Glentoran preview and prediction
The match
Linfield host Glentoran in the Premiership on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Windsor Park. Linfield are 1st with 36 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Glentoran sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Linfield and 0.7 for Glentoran. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Linfield to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Linfield or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Linfield 1–0 Glentoran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Linfield61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Glentoran14%fair 7.11 · @3.80
2.50Expected goals
1.77Linfield xG
0.74Glentoran xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Linfield 1.8 – 0.7 Glentoran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Linfield or draw
86%
1.16
1.24 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Linfield ahead at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.92
–
Form
Linfield – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Dungannon Swifts
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Glentoran – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Drumaness Mills
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Glentoran.
Our pick is Linfield or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Linfield vs Glentoran?
On our numbers Linfield have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Glentoran 14%.
How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Glentoran?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Glentoran?
Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Glentoran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Linfield vs Glentoran?
Linfield vs Glentoran (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Glenavon FC3