Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarne to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceLarne or draw ✗85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Larne vs Carrick Rangers preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Larne take on Carrick Rangers on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Inver Park. Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Carrick Rangers sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Larne and 0.8 for Carrick Rangers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Larne 2–0 Carrick Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larne67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.33
Carrick Rangers15%fair 6.62 · @6.00
2.77Expected goals
1.99Larne xG
0.78Carrick Rangers xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Larne 2.0 – 0.8 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Larne or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.37
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.05
–
Form
Larne
No recent results on record.
Carrick Rangers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Carrick Rangers.
What is the prediction for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
On our numbers Larne have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Carrick Rangers 15%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Larne 2–0 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Larne vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
