Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Ballymena United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Ballymena United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBallymena United to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC preview and prediction
The match
Crusaders FC travel to Ballymena Showgrounds in the Premiership on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT) to face Ballymena United. Ballymena United are 9th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Crusaders FC sit 8th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Ballymena United and 0.9 for Crusaders FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballymena United 64%, draw 20%, Crusaders FC 16%.
Safer route: Ballymena United or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Ballymena United to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ballymena United or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ballymena United 2–0 Crusaders FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballymena United64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.45
Crusaders FC16%fair 6.18 · @3.45
2.95Expected goals
2.04Ballymena United xG
0.91Crusaders FC xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 2.0 – 0.9 Crusaders FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ballymena United to win✓
64%
1.56
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Ballymena United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Ballymena United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ballymena United / FT Ballymena United✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Ballymena United
No recent results on record.
Crusaders FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballymena United and Crusaders FC.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Our pick is Ballymena United or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Crusaders FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 2–0 Crusaders FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
