Value bet: Linfield to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLinfield to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Larne vs Linfield preview and prediction
The match
The Premiership sees Larne take on Linfield on Tuesday 24 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Inver Park. Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Linfield sit 1st on 36 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Larne and 1.3 for Linfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Larne 33%, draw 28%, Linfield 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Linfield to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Larne 1–1 Linfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larne33%fair 2.99 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Linfield39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.45Expected goals
1.13Larne xG
1.33Linfield xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Larne 1.1 – 1.3 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Larne
Linfield
Attack vs Premiership average
+22%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-37%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.38
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Larne – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Linfield – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Dungannon Swifts
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larne and Linfield.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Larne vs Linfield?
On our numbers Larne have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Linfield 39%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Linfield?
Our predicted score is Larne 1–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Linfield?
Larne vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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