Value bet: Radnik Surdulica to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOFK Beograd to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica preview and prediction
The match
The Super Liga sees OFK Beograd take on Radnik Surdulica on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion pod Kraljevicom. OFK Beograd are 12th with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Radnik Surdulica sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
OFK Beograd's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Radnicki NIS 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Radnik Surdulica's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for OFK Beograd and 1.2 for Radnik Surdulica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: OFK Beograd 44%, draw 22%, Radnik Surdulica 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Radnik Surdulica to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
OFK Beograd44%fair 2.25 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Radnik Surdulica34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
2.65Expected goals
1.44OFK Beograd xG
1.21Radnik Surdulica xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: OFK Beograd 1.4 – 1.2 Radnik Surdulica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
OFK Beograd to win✗
44%
2.25
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT OFK Beograd / FT OFK Beograd✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
OFK Beograd – last 6
WDDDDL
3 Apr
@ Radnicki NIS
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs IMT Novi Beograd
3–3
D
16 Mar
@ Napredak
2–2
D
9 Mar
vs Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Železničar Pančevo
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Novi Pazar
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Radnik Surdulica – last 6
LWDDWD
5 Apr
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Radnicki NIS
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ IMT Novi Beograd
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Napredak
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between OFK Beograd and Radnik Surdulica.
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
On our numbers OFK Beograd have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Radnik Surdulica 34%.
How many goals will there be in OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our predicted score is OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica (Super Liga) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Kraljevicom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV2