Double chanceFK Crvena Zvezda or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗9% · fair 11.45
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak preview and prediction
The match
FK Crvena Zvezda host Napredak in the Super Liga on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Form guide
FK Crvena Zvezda's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Novi Pazar 2–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Napredak's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FK Crvena Zvezda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.9 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.0 for Napredak. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Crvena Zvezda 75%, draw 17%, Napredak 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.35, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Napredak. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Crvena Zvezda75%fair 1.33 · @1.03
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @11.00
Napredak8%fair 12.84 · @36.00
3.89Expected goals
2.92FK Crvena Zvezda xG
0.97Napredak xG
56%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
3–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–06%
4–16%
From our goals model: FK Crvena Zvezda 2.9 – 1.0 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Crvena Zvezda to win✓
75%
1.33
1.03
Double chance
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.40
Half-time result
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Crvena Zvezda / FT FK Crvena Zvezda✓
54%
1.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
FK Crvena Zvezda – last 5
WWLWW
5 Mar
@ Novi Pazar
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Radnicki 1923
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FK Partizan
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Lille
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Napredak – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Radnik Surdulica
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Radnicki NIS
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Crvena Zvezda and Napredak.
What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.35.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
On our numbers FK Crvena Zvezda have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Napredak 8%.
How many goals will there be in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
Our predicted score is FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak?
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.