Plzen host Pardubice in the Czech Liga on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Doosan Arena. Plzen are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pardubice sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Plzen's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Bohemians 1905 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pardubice's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Karviná 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Plzen and 0.9 for Pardubice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plzen 64%, draw 22%, Pardubice 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Plzen 2–0 Pardubice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plzen64%fair 1.56 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.40
Pardubice14%fair 7.25 · @6.80
3.00Expected goals
2.11Plzen xG
0.90Pardubice xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Plzen 2.1 – 0.9 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win
64%
1.56
1.39
Double chance
Plzen or draw
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
9.08
–
Form
Plzen – last 6
WWLLDD
15 Mar
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hradec Králové
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Karviná
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Zlin
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sparta Praha
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Panathinaikos
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 3
WLL
8 Mar
@ Karviná
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Slovácko
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and Pardubice.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Plzen vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Plzen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pardubice 14%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Pardubice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Plzen 2–0 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs Pardubice?
Plzen vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
