Value bet: Pardubice to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPardubice to win ✓40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.70
Karviná vs Pardubice preview and prediction
The match
Pardubice travel to Town Stadium Karvina in the Czech Liga on Sunday 8 March (15:30 WAT) to face Karviná.
Form guide
Karviná's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Plzen 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Karviná and 1.5 for Pardubice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Pardubice to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Karviná 1–1 Pardubice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karviná38%fair 2.66 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Pardubice40%fair 2.50 · @2.95
2.93Expected goals
1.44Karviná xG
1.49Pardubice xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karviná 1.4 – 1.5 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pardubice to win✓
40%
2.50
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pardubice / FT Pardubice✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.70
–
Form
Karviná – last 3
WLL
5 Mar
vs Plzen
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Slovácko
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ FK Jablonec
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Slovácko
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Pardubice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Karviná vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Karviná have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pardubice 40%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Pardubice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Karviná 1–1 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Pardubice?
Karviná vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
