Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.86 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.86Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMura to win ✗62% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Radomlje vs Mura preview and prediction
The match
Radomlje host Mura in the 1. SNL on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Športni Park. Radomlje are 10th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Mura sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Radomlje's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Olimpija Ljubljana 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mura's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Maribor 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Radomlje and 2.0 for Mura. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Radomlje 23%, draw 15%, Mura 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mura to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.86, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Radomlje 1–2 Mura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Radomlje23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Draw15%fair 6.61 · @3.65
Mura62%fair 1.61 · @1.86
3.00Expected goals
1.04Radomlje xG
1.96Mura xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Radomlje 1.0 – 2.0 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mura to win✗
62%
1.61
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Half-time result
Mura ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mura / FT Mura✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Radomlje – last 6
LWLWLD
17 May
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Primorje
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Aluminij
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Bravo
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Dekani
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mura – last 6
WWLLLL
17 May
vs Maribor
2–1
W
10 May
@ Primorje
2–0
W
3 May
vs Koper
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Celje
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Koper
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomlje and Mura.
Our pick is Mura to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.86.
Who will win Radomlje vs Mura?
On our numbers Radomlje have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mura 62%.
How many goals will there be in Radomlje vs Mura?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomlje vs Mura?
Our predicted score is Radomlje 1–2 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Radomlje vs Mura?
Radomlje vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Športni Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Primorje0