Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Maribor to win @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaribor to win57% · @1.92
Double chanceMaribor or draw80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.11
Bravo vs Maribor preview and prediction
The match
Bravo host Maribor in the 1. SNL on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Športni Park Šiška. Bravo are 5th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Maribor sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bravo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aluminij 0–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Maribor's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Koper 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Maribor 2–0 Bravo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Bravo and 2.0 for Maribor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bravo 20%, draw 23%, Maribor 57%.
Safer route: Maribor or draw (80%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Maribor to win at 1.92 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maribor or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bravo 1–1 Maribor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bravo20%fair 4.99 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Maribor57%fair 1.77 · @1.92
3.10Expected goals
1.12Bravo xG
1.98Maribor xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Bravo 1.1 – 2.0 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maribor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bravo vs Maribor?
On our numbers Bravo have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maribor 57%.
How many goals will there be in Bravo vs Maribor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bravo vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Bravo 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bravo vs Maribor?
Bravo vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Športni Park Šiška.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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