Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓10% · fair 9.61
Mura vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
Mura host Celje in the 1. SNL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija. Mura are 9th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Celje's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Mura and 2.1 for Celje. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mura 16%, draw 21%, Celje 62%.
Safer route: Celje or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celje to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mura 0–2 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mura16%fair 6.11 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.95
Celje62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
3.01Expected goals
0.95Mura xG
2.05Celje xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mura 1.0 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✓
62%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Celje or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
10%
9.61
–
Form
Mura – last 2
LL
16 Apr
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Koper
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
WWWWLL
15 Apr
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Primorje
5–1
W
19 Mar
@ AEK Athens FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Koper
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mura and Celje.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mura vs Celje?
On our numbers Mura have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Celje 62%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Celje?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Mura 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Celje?
Mura vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
