Value bet: Celje to win @ 1.92 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✓60% · @1.92
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana preview and prediction
The match
Celje host Olimpija Ljubljana in the 1. SNL on Wednesday 15 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Z'dežele. Celje are 3rd with 23 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celje's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Primorje 5–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Olimpija Ljubljana's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Maribor 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Celje and 0.9 for Olimpija Ljubljana. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celje 60%, draw 24%, Olimpija Ljubljana 15%.
Safer route: Celje or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Celje to win at 1.92 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Celje 2–0 Olimpija Ljubljana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celje60%fair 1.66 · @1.92
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Olimpija Ljubljana15%fair 6.45 · @3.75
2.91Expected goals
1.98Celje xG
0.93Olimpija Ljubljana xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celje 2.0 – 0.9 Olimpija Ljubljana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✓
60%
1.66
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Celje or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Celje – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Mar
vs Primorje
5–1
W
19 Mar
@ AEK Athens FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Koper
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Bravo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olimpija Ljubljana – last 4
DLDW
8 Mar
vs Maribor
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Koper
3–3
D
14 Feb
@ Ruh Lviv
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Olimpija Ljubljana.
What is the prediction for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
On our numbers Celje have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpija Ljubljana 15%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our predicted score is Celje 2–0 Olimpija Ljubljana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana (1. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Z'dežele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Primorje1