Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor preview and prediction
The match
Olimpija Ljubljana host Maribor in the 1. SNL on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Stožice. Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Maribor sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olimpija Ljubljana's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Brinje-Grosuplje 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.5 for Maribor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olimpija Ljubljana 35%, draw 24%, Maribor 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Olimpija Ljubljana 1–1 Maribor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpija Ljubljana35%fair 2.84 · @2.76
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Maribor41%fair 2.44 · @2.38
2.84Expected goals
1.36Olimpija Ljubljana xG
1.48Maribor xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Olimpija Ljubljana 1.4 – 1.5 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win✗
41%
2.44
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Olimpija Ljubljana – last 3
LDW
4 Mar
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Koper
3–3
D
14 Feb
@ Ruh Lviv
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Bravo
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Primorje
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpija Ljubljana and Maribor.
What is the prediction for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
On our numbers Olimpija Ljubljana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maribor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Olimpija Ljubljana 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stožice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
