Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✗58% · @1.51
Double chanceCelje or draw ✗81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Aluminij vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
Celje travel to Sportni park Aluminij in the 1. SNL on Thursday 5 March (17:30 WAT) to face Aluminij. Aluminij are 7th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Celje's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Bravo 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for Aluminij and 1.8 for Celje. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aluminij 19%, draw 24%, Celje 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Aluminij 1–1 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aluminij19%fair 5.39 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.40
Celje58%fair 1.73 · @1.51
2.96Expected goals
1.18Aluminij xG
1.79Celje xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.2 – 1.8 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
58%
1.73
1.51
Double chance
Celje or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Aluminij – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Bravo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celje – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ Bravo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Drita
3–2
W
19 Feb
@ Drita
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminij and Celje.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Aluminij vs Celje?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celje 58%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Celje?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Celje?
Aluminij vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
