Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: NK Osijek to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Osijek to win ✗63% · @1.86
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Osijek take on Istra 1961 on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Opus Arena. NK Osijek are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Istra 1961 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Osijek's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Istra 1961's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Istra 1961 0–1 NK Osijek.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for NK Osijek and 0.7 for Istra 1961. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Osijek 63%, draw 25%, Istra 1961 12%.
Safer route: NK Osijek or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: NK Osijek to win at 1.86 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NK Osijek or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Osijek 1–0 Istra 1961. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Osijek63%fair 1.58 · @1.86
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.35
Istra 196112%fair 8.32 · @3.90
2.49Expected goals
1.81NK Osijek xG
0.68Istra 1961 xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.8 – 0.7 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is NK Osijek or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Istra 1961 12%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–0 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
