Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Varazdin take on HNK Rijeka on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Varazdin. NK Varazdin are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while HNK Rijeka sit 6th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NK Varazdin's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat NK Osijek 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
HNK Rijeka's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for NK Varazdin and 1.2 for HNK Rijeka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Varazdin 41%, draw 24%, HNK Rijeka 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.83.
Value angle: NK Varazdin to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Varazdin41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
HNK Rijeka35%fair 2.90 · @2.52
2.50Expected goals
1.32NK Varazdin xG
1.18HNK Rijeka xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.3 – 1.2 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✓
41%
2.44
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
NK Varazdin – last 6
WDLWLL
17 Apr
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Vukovar
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 6
WLDLLW
8 Apr
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ HNK Gorica
0–4
L
19 Mar
@ Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Istra 1961
0–2
L
12 Mar
vs Strasbourg
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Vukovar
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Varazdin and HNK Rijeka.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Rijeka 35%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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