Value bet: HNK Gorica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.31
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees NK Varazdin take on HNK Gorica on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Varazdin. NK Varazdin are 5th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NK Varazdin's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Istra 1961 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
HNK Gorica's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat HNK Rijeka 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Gorica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished NK Varazdin 1–3 HNK Gorica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for NK Varazdin and 1.3 for HNK Gorica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Varazdin 39%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: HNK Gorica to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Varazdin39%fair 2.54 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
HNK Gorica35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
2.65Expected goals
1.37NK Varazdin xG
1.28HNK Gorica xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.4 – 1.3 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and HNK Gorica 35%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
