Istra 1961 host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Istra 1961 are 4th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Varazdin sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Istra 1961's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat HNK Rijeka 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
NK Varazdin's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Vukovar 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Istra 1961 and 1.2 for NK Varazdin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Istra 1961 38%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Varazdin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Istra 196138%fair 2.62 · @2.66
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.66
NK Varazdin34%fair 2.91 · @2.94
2.56Expected goals
1.32Istra 1961 xG
1.24NK Varazdin xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.3 – 1.2 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✓
38%
2.62
2.66
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.97
–
Form
Istra 1961 – last 4
WLLL
15 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
NK Varazdin – last 3
WLL
13 Mar
vs Vukovar
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and NK Varazdin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?
Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
