Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Osijek to win ✓37% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.12
Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek preview and prediction
The match
Istra 1961 host NK Osijek in the HNL on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Istra 1961 are 4th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top four), while NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Istra 1961 and 1.2 for NK Osijek. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Istra 1961 37%, draw 26%, NK Osijek 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Istra 1961 1–1 NK Osijek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Istra 196137%fair 2.72 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.90
NK Osijek37%fair 2.67 · @2.68
2.40Expected goals
1.19Istra 1961 xG
1.21NK Osijek xG
57%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.2 – 1.2 NK Osijek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Osijek to win✓
37%
2.67
2.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Osijek / FT NK Osijek✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.12
–
Form
Istra 1961 – last 2
LL
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
NK Osijek – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and NK Osijek.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NK Osijek 37%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–1 NK Osijek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek (HNL) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
