Value bet: HNK Rijeka to win @ 1.61 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓66% · @1.61
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to Stadion HNK Rijeka in the HNL on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT) to face HNK Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Omonia Nicosia 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for HNK Rijeka and 0.7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 66%, draw 22%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: HNK Rijeka to win at 1.61 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka66%fair 1.51 · @1.61
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12%fair 8.39 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.97HNK Rijeka xG
0.72NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.0 – 0.7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
66%
1.51
1.61 ▲
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
HNK Rijeka – last 3
WLW
26 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 12%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
