HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
HNK Hajduk Split or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓60% · @1.94
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.13
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction
The match
The HNL sees HNK Hajduk Split take on HNK Rijeka on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Poljud. HNK Hajduk Split are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while HNK Rijeka sit 6th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for HNK Hajduk Split and 0.8 for HNK Rijeka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: HNK Hajduk Split to win at 1.94 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Hajduk Split or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Hajduk Split60%fair 1.68 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.20
HNK Rijeka19%fair 5.26 · @3.85
2.48Expected goals
1.68HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.80HNK Rijeka xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.7 – 0.8 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
60%
1.68
1.94 ▲
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.13
–
Form
HNK Hajduk Split – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Rijeka.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HNK Rijeka 19%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
