Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 2.72 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win ✗39% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
NK Slaven Belupo host NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL on Friday 13 February, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas. NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.4 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NK Slaven Belupo 37%, draw 24%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win at 2.72 – 39% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NK Slaven Belupo37%fair 2.71 · @2.44
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb39%fair 2.56 · @2.72
2.73Expected goals
1.34NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.39NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.3 – 1.4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win✗
39%
2.56
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / FT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
NK Slaven Belupo
No recent results on record.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
