Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Alloa Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.27Odds
1
Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical preview and prediction
The match
Hamilton Academical travel to Recreation Park in the League One on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Alloa Athletic. Alloa Athletic are 9th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Hamilton Academical sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Alloa Athletic and 0.9 for Hamilton Academical. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alloa Athletic 55%, draw 24%, Hamilton Academical 21%.
Safer route: Alloa Athletic or draw (79%) at 1.27.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alloa Athletic or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hamilton Academical. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Hamilton Academical21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
2.43Expected goals
1.58Alloa Athletic xG
0.86Hamilton Academical xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.6 – 0.9 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Alloa Athletic or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.88
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
Alloa Athletic
No recent results on record.
Hamilton Academical – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs East Fife
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Hamilton Academical.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hamilton Academical 21%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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