Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Peterhead host Alloa Athletic in the League One on Tuesday 10 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Balmoor. Peterhead are 7th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Alloa Athletic sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Peterhead and 1.5 for Alloa Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Alloa Athletic to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peterhead34%fair 2.97 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Alloa Athletic45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
2.71Expected goals
1.23Peterhead xG
1.47Alloa Athletic xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Peterhead 1.2 – 1.5 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
45%
2.24
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Peterhead
No recent results on record.
Alloa Athletic – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Hamilton Academical
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peterhead and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Peterhead have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 45%.
How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?
Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
