Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd preview and prediction
The match
Raith Rovers host Ayr Utd in the Championship on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stark's Park. Raith Rovers are 2nd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Ayr Utd sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Queen's Park 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Raith Rovers and 1.1 for Ayr Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Ayr Utd to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Raith Rovers 1–1 Ayr Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raith Rovers40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Ayr Utd36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
2.27Expected goals
1.18Raith Rovers xG
1.09Ayr Utd xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.2 – 1.1 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✓
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Raith Rovers – last 2
LD
24 Mar
vs Partick
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ayr Utd – last 4
LDLD
10 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ayr Utd 36%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–1 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stark's Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ross County1