Value bet: Dunfermline to win @ 2.48 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDunfermline to win ✗44% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Airdrie United vs Dunfermline preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Airdrie United take on Dunfermline on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Form guide
Dunfermline's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Ayr Utd 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Airdrie United and 1.3 for Dunfermline. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airdrie United 34%, draw 22%, Dunfermline 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Dunfermline to win at 2.48 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Airdrie United 1–1 Dunfermline. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airdrie United34%fair 2.91 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Dunfermline44%fair 2.28 · @2.48
2.50Expected goals
1.15Airdrie United xG
1.35Dunfermline xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 1.1 – 1.3 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunfermline to win✗
44%
2.28
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Airdrie United – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Partick
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 5
WWDLL
7 Apr
@ Ayr Utd
3–0
W
3 Mar
vs Ross County
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs Partick
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Arbroath
2–4
L
17 Feb
@ Morton
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airdrie United and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dunfermline 44%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 1–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs Dunfermline?
Airdrie United vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
