Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Partick to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPartick to win ✓64% · @1.82
Double chancePartick or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.87
Morton vs Partick preview and prediction
The match
Morton host Partick in the Championship on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Cappielow Park. Morton are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Partick sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Morton and 1.8 for Partick. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morton 13%, draw 23%, Partick 64%.
Safer route: Partick or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Partick to win at 1.82 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Partick or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morton 0–1 Partick. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morton13%fair 7.52 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Partick64%fair 1.57 · @1.82
2.47Expected goals
0.68Morton xG
1.79Partick xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Morton 0.7 – 1.8 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Partick to win✓
64%
1.57
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Partick or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Partick ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Partick / FT Partick✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.87
–
Form
Morton – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Queen's Park
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Partick – last 2
DW
24 Feb
@ Dunfermline
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Airdrie United
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Partick.
Our pick is Partick or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Morton vs Partick?
On our numbers Morton have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Partick 64%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Partick?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Morton 0–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Partick?
Morton vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
