Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 1.78 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAyr Utd to win ✗64% · @1.78
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park preview and prediction
The match
Queen's Park travel to Somerset Park in the Championship on Tuesday 10 March (20:45 WAT) to face Ayr Utd. Ayr Utd are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Queen's Park sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Arbroath 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Ayr Utd and 0.7 for Queen's Park. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayr Utd 64%, draw 22%, Queen's Park 14%.
Safer route: Ayr Utd or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Ayr Utd to win at 1.78 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 1–0 Queen's Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd64%fair 1.57 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Queen's Park14%fair 6.91 · @4.20
2.51Expected goals
1.80Ayr Utd xG
0.71Queen's Park xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.8 – 0.7 Queen's Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ayr Utd to win✗
64%
1.57
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Ayr Utd or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Ayr Utd ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Ayr Utd – last 3
DLD
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Queen's Park – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Morton
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Queen's Park.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Queen's Park 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–0 Queen's Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park?
Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
