Aberdeen travel to Fir Park in the Premiership on Sunday 15 February (15:30 WAT) to face Motherwell. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Motherwell and 0.7 for Aberdeen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell66%fair 1.52 · @1.59
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.85
Aberdeen16%fair 6.35 · @5.50
2.57Expected goals
1.84Motherwell xG
0.72Aberdeen xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.8 – 0.7 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✓
66%
1.52
1.59
Double chance
Motherwell or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Half-time result
Motherwell ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Motherwell
No recent results on record.
Aberdeen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Aberdeen.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aberdeen 16%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Motherwell vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
