Value bet: Dundee Utd to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundee Utd to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren preview and prediction
The match
ST Mirren travel to Tannadice Park in the Premiership on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT) to face Dundee Utd. Dundee Utd are 6th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundee Utd's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Aberdeen 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Dundee Utd and 1.1 for ST Mirren. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundee Utd 45%, draw 24%, ST Mirren 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Dundee Utd to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Dundee Utd 1–1 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundee Utd45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
ST Mirren31%fair 3.21 · @2.85
2.68Expected goals
1.55Dundee Utd xG
1.13ST Mirren xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.6 – 1.1 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee Utd to win✓
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Dundee Utd – last 3
DDW
24 Feb
vs Aberdeen
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Kilmarnock
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ST Mirren
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee Utd and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ST Mirren 31%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Dundee Utd 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
