Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenk to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Genk vs St. Truiden preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees Genk take on St. Truiden on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Cegeka Arena. Genk are 7th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while St. Truiden sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Genk's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat SC Freiburg 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
St. Truiden's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Cercle Brugge 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Genk and 1.3 for St. Truiden. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genk 44%, draw 21%, St. Truiden 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Genk 1–1 St. Truiden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genk44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
St. Truiden35%fair 2.82 · @2.90
2.84Expected goals
1.51Genk xG
1.33St. Truiden xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Genk 1.5 – 1.3 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✓
44%
2.28
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Genk – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gent
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Standard Liege
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and St. Truiden.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Genk vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Genk have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Truiden 35%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Genk vs St. Truiden?
Genk vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
