St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
St. Truiden or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.27
St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge preview and prediction
The match
St. Truiden host Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cercle Brugge sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cercle Brugge's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Dender 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for St. Truiden and 1.0 for Cercle Brugge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 61%, draw 20%, Cercle Brugge 19%.
Safer route: St. Truiden or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: St. Truiden to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Truiden or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Truiden 1–0 Cercle Brugge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Cercle Brugge19%fair 5.22 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.92St. Truiden xG
0.96Cercle Brugge xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.9 – 1.0 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✓
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.27
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
vs Dender
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Gent
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Club Brugge KV
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Cercle Brugge.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
Our pick is St. Truiden or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cercle Brugge 19%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–0 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
