Value bet: Jong AZ to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong AZ to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Jong AZ take on Jong PSV U21 on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Jong AZ are 19th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Jong PSV U21 sit 17th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong AZ's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to De Graafschap 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Jong PSV U21's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat VVV Venlo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Jong AZ and 1.4 for Jong PSV U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong AZ 59%, draw 17%, Jong PSV U21 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Jong AZ to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Jong AZ 2–1 Jong PSV U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong AZ59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @4.20
Jong PSV U2125%fair 4.08 · @3.70
3.64Expected goals
2.26Jong AZ xG
1.38Jong PSV U21 xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.3 – 1.4 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.83
Half-time result
Jong AZ ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Jong AZ – last 6
LWDLLL
6 Apr
@ De Graafschap
0–5
L
3 Apr
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
WLLLLW
6 Apr
vs VVV Venlo
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Willem II
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Roda
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Jong PSV U21.
What is the prediction for Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Jong PSV U21 25%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21?
Jong AZ vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
