Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Ruch Chorzów or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction
The match
Ruch Chorzów host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the I Liga on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski. Ruch Chorzów are 5th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ruch Chorzów's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Wisla Krakow 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ruch Chorzów arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Ruch Chorzów and 1.0 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Ruch Chorzów or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ruch Chorzów 2–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ruch Chorzów61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.75
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki16%fair 6.10 · @3.80
2.96Expected goals
2.01Ruch Chorzów xG
0.95Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ruch Chorzów 2.0 – 1.0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ruch Chorzów to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Ruch Chorzów or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Ruch Chorzów ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.60
–
Form
Ruch Chorzów – last 5
DDWWL
19 Apr
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Polonia Bytom
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 4
LLLD
19 Apr
vs Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Stal Mielec
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruch Chorzów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Ruch Chorzów have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Ruch Chorzów 2–0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
