Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
Stal Mielec travel to Stadion Znicza in the I Liga on Monday 6 April (18:30 WAT) to face Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stal Mielec's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Wieczysta Kraków 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and 1.5 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki41%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Stal Mielec36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
3.23Expected goals
1.68Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.55Stal Mielec xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 – 1.5 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
41%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 2
LD
20 Mar
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 5
WWWLD
22 Mar
vs Wieczysta Kraków
3–1
W
6 Mar
vs Tychy 71
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Odra Opole
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stal Mielec 36%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Znicza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wisla Krakow3
Górnik Łęczna2