Value bet: Chrobry Głogów to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChrobry Głogów to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Pogoń Siedlce take on Chrobry Głogów on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Chrobry Głogów sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Znicz Pruszków 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.2 for Chrobry Głogów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Chrobry Głogów to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Chrobry Głogów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce36%fair 2.81 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Chrobry Głogów40%fair 2.47 · @2.70
2.38Expected goals
1.14Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.24Chrobry Głogów xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 – 1.2 Chrobry Głogów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chrobry Głogów to win✓
40%
2.47
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chrobry Głogów / FT Chrobry Głogów✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 5
WLDDW
15 Mar
vs Znicz Pruszków
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
0–3
L
27 Feb
vs Górnik Łęczna
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Chrobry Głogów – last 1
L
13 Mar
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Chrobry Głogów.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chrobry Głogów 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Chrobry Głogów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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