Value bet: ŁKS Łódź to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa host ŁKS Łódź in the I Liga on Monday 9 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii im. generala Kazimierza Sosnkowski. Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14 games (top of the table), while ŁKS Łódź sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.4 for ŁKS Łódź. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 42%, draw 23%, ŁKS Łódź 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: ŁKS Łódź to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1–1 ŁKS Łódź. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
ŁKS Łódź35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.89Expected goals
1.52Polonia Warszawa xG
1.37ŁKS Łódź xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.5 – 1.4 ŁKS Łódź expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 1
W
2 Mar
@ Wieczysta Kraków
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
ŁKS Łódź – last 1
W
23 Feb
@ Stal Mielec
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and ŁKS Łódź.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ŁKS Łódź 35%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–1 ŁKS Łódź, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź?
Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii im. generala Kazimierza Sosnkowski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
