Value bet: Ruch Chorzów to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Polonia Bytom take on Ruch Chorzów on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii Bytom. Polonia Bytom are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Ruch Chorzów sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Polonia Bytom and 1.4 for Ruch Chorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Bytom 39%, draw 23%, Ruch Chorzów 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Ruch Chorzów to win at 2.95 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Polonia Bytom 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Bytom39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Ruch Chorzów38%fair 2.63 · @2.95
2.89Expected goals
1.46Polonia Bytom xG
1.43Ruch Chorzów xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 1.5 – 1.4 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✗
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Polonia Bytom – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Pogoń Siedlce
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 2
WL
27 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ruch Chorzów 38%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?
Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii Bytom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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